Monthly Archives: May 2014
By: Tom Chatham
There has been much talk the past few years of a possible EMP/CME that would cause a mass die off in society. There are those that rebuff the idea that a technological society like ours would simply die from something as simple as lack of power. In many cases these are the same people in society that expect the government to come to their rescue if something does happen. The idea of dieing from a lack of basic necessities is so far outside of their comfort zone that these people refuse to think about it or acknowledge it could happen.
These people like to think that simply losing power or technology is a temporary thing that someone will fix in short order and life will return to normal. They believe they will just survive as our ancestors did a hundred or so years ago and life will go on with few bumps until technology is restored. This type of thinking is shortsighted and naive at best, and here is why.
There are a few words that many people need to understand in order to wrap their mind around this threat. Those words are available resources, skills and infrastructure.
When technology fails society is suddenly limited to the resources it needs that are already produced and on hand for immediate use. If water suddenly stops being purified and pumped through the lines, you are limited to what you now have in the lines or storage tanks. Gas stations are limited to the fuel they have in storage tanks. Stores are limited to the food and clothing they have on hand. The failure of technology will stop water from being replaced, sewage from being removed, refrigeration from keeping foods edible, light from illuminating dark areas that must be traversed, elevators from getting people to upper floors, gas and electric for heating and cooking, water for fighting fires, communications for calling for help and medical devices to keep people alive.
The reason everything will stop is because of another word to remember, infrastructure. Without infrastructure nothing gets done, even on a simple basis. You cannot cook food without some type of infrastructure to produce heat, you cannot store food without some type of storage to keep it cold or some type of container to keep it protected from rodents and the environment. You cannot process or store food without equipment to cut, grind, dry, smoke, can or root cellar it. You cannot harvest, plant or grow food without some type of equipment to do those jobs.
The original definition of an acre was the amount of ground a farmer could plow in a full day. Farmers now plant hundreds of acres a day to keep Americans fed. With no modern equipment, how many acres can a farmer plant even if he had a trained team of horses and the equipment to pull behind them? Let us not forget that 2 percent of the population now grows the food for the whole country. How much would they now be able to produce even if they had the necessary equipment to do it manually? Let us also not forget that farmers need to buy their seed every year to plant. Very few individuals raise heritage seeds that they can plant every year from their own production. Where would these seeds now come from? Farmers also need lots of fertilizer to make these plants grow, where would that fertilizer come from? Many farms need irrigation to grow plants, so where would the power come from to pump that water? The age old practice of utilizing animal manure to fertilize fields only works if the farmer has livestock to produce that manure. Once harvested, how will that food now get transported to distant markets? How will farmers know where to send it without communications? A telegraph system is simple but must be built before it can be used.
Many people think that if technology fails we will simply live as past generations have but they conveniently neglect the fact that regardless of what systems you use you must have the infrastructure to provide for that system. If you go from mail to telegraphs or from analog to digital technology the problems are the same, you must have the infrastructure in place to switch to first. It is true we know how to build the older technology but where will the resources come from to actually build it? Remember, once technology fails you are somewhat limited to what you have on hand to work with.
If we had to return to 1880’s living, how many people have a team of horses, a wagon to hook them to, a butter churn, a grain mill, cheese making supplies, candles, oil lamps, matches, wood cook stoves, blacksmith supplies, hand pumps or dug wells? People were able to live back then because they had the infrastructure to do so. This is what many people do not understand. How hard would it be for us to go back to vacuum tube technology now without the infrastructure to support it, even if we do know how to build it?
In 1776 America, about 40% of men worked their own farm. Another 30% worked as laborers on farms. About 20% owned large commercial farms or plantations. The remaining 10% or so who were professional businessmen frequently owned modest farms where they might raise a cow, some chickens and have a garden to provide for the home table. Even those town people that had no farm usually had a cow, some chickens and a kitchen garden for home use. To go back to this model would be difficult if not impossible for many reasons only one of which is the fact that city dwellers have no room for gardens or the infrastructure to maintain cows and chickens on the large scale that would be needed.
The other thing that many people ignore are the skills required to live in a different system. Most people cannot simply plant seeds and suddenly become a great gardener. They do not know how to make cheese or how to improvise cheese making supplies from items now in the home. They do not know how to make soap or candles or something as simple as toilet paper. A roll of paper seems simple in design but how many know how to process wood pulp or other fibers to make paper? It does not matter if you are making ten thousand rolls in a factory or one roll at home, you need the skills and infrastructure to do it.
Skills come in many forms but the skills that society depends on the most are the craftsmen and engineers that design and build the technology we depend on. Without their knowledge, it would be difficult to replace the technology we now use. How many people know how to rebuild and maintain the phone system we now use? How many people know how to build and repair refrigeration units or make electric motors? How many people know how to refine oil into gasoline and diesel and make plastics and all the other things from petroleum?
In a long term grid down situation where society breaks down, many people would die and those that hold the keys to our technology would be among them. The longer the duration of disruption, the less likely it would be that those who could rebuild the systems would be able to do so. It is a situation where society’s capabilities decrease as time goes on.
Many people talk of hunting and fishing to fulfill their dietary needs but if even ten percent of the nation decides to do the same due to necessity, how long will the game and fish last before it is all gone? Even if you have some food and seeds to plant, it will take time to grow new supplies. In the days following an event, those that are not prepared will seek out supplies from those that have them, including those that have gardens. It is for this reason that it will be difficult to grow replacement supplies for the first one or two years following an event in most places. This would necessitate those that have supplies be able to support themselves and their families until new crops could be produced. The less prepared the population is the longer your initial supplies will need to last.
Once you take into account these things it becomes evident that it would not be easy to revert to an earlier type of system without major disruptions. It is for these reasons that it becomes necessary for the population in general to have the necessary resources to tide them over until infrastructure and skills can adjust to the new reality people find themselves in.
During the cold war the government maintained three years worth of grain in reserve to feed the population until agriculture could recover after a major attack. Today the government keeps little in the way of food for the entire nation. If something happens they depend on resources coming from unaffected areas of the country to help. In a nationwide disaster, there may not be any help to send. This is the reason individuals need to keep the necessary resources on hand to tide them over until the system can be stabilized in some way and some technology can come back on line.
Unfortunately in a worse case disaster, this would only buy some of the population a little time. If the technology we depend on is offline for longer than the resources that are available to the population last, then a mass die-off would ,occur. It is important to remember that only 2% of the nation farms today. Without the modern systems to farm large tracts of land, it would be impossible for any small percentage of the population to feed the whole nation utilizing older, manual techniques. The population would decrease until technology was sufficient to support the population. This would hold true for other parts of the system such as clothing production and healthcare as well.
Because of the high impact this scenario would have on the population, that is the reason people need to resolve to store supplies and resources to care for themselves in the unlikely event this happens. The possession of basic food supplies, medicines, toiletries, energy supplies and alternative transportation and communication systems can provide society the room it needs to extract itself from the worst of the situation. The lack of preparedness will only insure a higher casualty rate and more destruction of surviving infrastructure in the aftermath of an event. The lower the preparedness level of society, the less likely society will be able to survive and rebuild itself.
By: Tom Chatham
Many people have heard of the underground economy and some even use it today to some extent. It encompasses those that work off the books to earn money. It makes it possible for some that earn a little money to keep most of it by not reporting it and having to pay taxes on it. It is not much money that they save in taxes but to those that earn it, it makes a lot of difference in their lives. It is their way to survive in a system that is stacked against them.
With the economy becoming worse every month for the producers in society, a new system will need to take over when the current one becomes untenable. Those that see the writing on the wall need to take the steps now to prepare for this change so they are not forced to utilize the state run system that will follow. As bad as it is now, when the economy fails, the government will move to control all commodities and transactions. This will be the mark of the beast system many now talk about. No one will be able to sell or buy without the government knowing what you are doing.
This is the next stage of the government control grid that will tighten the reigns of power even more in the elites favor. With total control of everything sold, the government will be able to deny resources to selected groups or individuals that do not comply with government rules. This will be the mechanism to subdue the population and force compliance of the masses for the enrichment of the leadership.
You will not be able to buy more than your delegated share of goods. You will not be able to stockpile extra resources. You will not be able to buy restricted products that can be used against the government. You will not be able to save any substantial amount of money for later use. You will not be able to shop around for the best prices as the government will set the prices you will pay for everything. You will be totally controlled by the government according to their desires.
The only way to avoid this outcome is to have the ability to buy and sell outside of government control. This means you will need to be a part of the underground economy or black market as some call it. This ability to buy and sell outside of government scrutiny will enable you to retain some of your freedoms. This is one of the weapons needed to fight a tyrannical government and win.
The ability to buy goods and services outside the normal channels allows you to negotiate the price you are willing to pay and to find the products you want to buy. It allows you to get the things you want, even if it is government controlled or restricted. It is the free market at its most basic level.
To have an underground economy there are four things that are necessary to insure it functions properly.
Producer- This is the person who produces the product or service that the market place requires. This person can sell directly to buyers in the local economy but often requires someone else to sell in distant markets.
Middleman- This is the person who brings products and buyers together. He buys from the producer and transports the products to distant markets to complete the sale of goods.
Buyer- This is the end user of the goods and services. The buyer dictates what the demand is in the market.
Medium of exchange- This is the payment method used in commerce. A robust market requires a payment system that is agreeable to all parties.
The producer is the person that creates goods from raw materials and creates usable items that are in demand. This can be anything from food to tools and furniture to weapons. The producer has the skills needed to make things that others cannot. The middleman is necessary when products must be transported to distant markets that producers do not have the time or means to reach on their own. The buyer dictates what products or services are wanted in the marketplace. They are the end user and establish demand.
The medium of exchange can be anything agreed upon by the market place. It can be paper, rocks or metals. The most used medium over the ages has been gold and silver. They are easy to carry and are easily recognized. These metals are scarce and cannot be produced out of thin air as other things can. This gives them the stable properties that make a good medium of exchange.
It has been said that gold is the money of kings, silver is the money of the rich and barter is the money of the poor. Today you might say that gold is the money of the rich, silver is the money of the producers and barter is the money of the poor. Gold is expensive and difficult to use except in large transactions. Silver is less expensive and more available to most people. It is silver that holds the most promise for future trade in the underground economy.
The utilization of silver to transact business allows the buyers and sellers in society to control commerce and the distribution of wealth rather than the government. The possession of gold, silver, products or skills are the hard currencies that allow society to prosper. These hard currencies prevent the mis-allocation of wealth and resources that occur when a government entity has the power to print a substitute that can be exchanged for real wealth. The ability to print and control this substitute allows government to control commerce and the business system and the population with it.
The ability to leave this substitute system which is fraught with corruption allows society to prosper at a rate set by society and not the government. In the future it will be necessary for anyone that wishes to retain any freedom to utilize the underground economy to maintain a reasonable standard of living not controlled by the government. This must be accomplished by the cooperation of individuals in society that understand the need for this kind of system.
With the steady corrosion of value in the dollar today, it is imperative for groups to form and set the standards for the underground economy of the future that they will depend on to survive outside the confines of government. There are many barter groups around the country and this is a good start but more needs to be done in the short term to coordinate the system.
There is a need to determine what skills and products are available and what the price in silver will be. A standard price/value scale needs to be determined to act as a universal starting point for commerce in the underground economy when full implementation occurs. The pay rate for labor, the cost of farm products, the value of wood and timber products etc…, all need to be discussed now while there is time to coordinate this system nationwide with various groups.
A good starting point is 100 years ago when gold and silver were the primary mediums prior to the FED taking control of the system. Back then a good annual income was about $600 a year. An acre of land sold for about one silver dollar. Eggs could be had for around 20 cents a dozen and butter 25 cents a pound.
This starting point is just that, a starting point. Some products will command a higher price in some areas and labor will be higher in some markets. The free market will adjust these local rates once the system is under way. Those that desire to operate in this type of free market need to know now where the products and skills can be located and everyone that is able needs to begin the process of storing the necessary silver to trade in this system. Those that lack the funds to store silver will need to insure they possess skills to trade or have the means to produce a product to sell.
One benefit of accumulating silver at this time is the fact that it is under priced relative to past value. Six hundred silver dollars is equal to a years pay in 1900 but can be purchased for about ten thousand dollars at this time. Those that see this type of system as necessary in the future have the opportunity to save for future purchases at a discount now.
When the current system fails and the government attempts to gain even more control over the population with a new system, those that wish to continue operating in the free market need to have the mechanism to do so. It is likely the government will outlaw any system that they do not have complete control over. The ability of the bankers to force the population to use their money at the value they set will leave many in a desperate situation they cannot escape and find difficult to survive in. An underground economy utilizing silver as the primary medium of exchange will give many the means to live outside the government system and continue living as free men rather than slaves to the system.
By: Tom Chatham
It hurts to think it. It hurts to say it. But there it is. We have passed the point of no return as a nation and only something drastic and destructive will change things. The nation continues to be bled to death by a social class that not only consumes more than they produce but also more than others produce as well. The massive misallocation of wealth by these people is like a parasite sucking its host dry.
This class of people is incapable and unwilling to be educated on the destruction they are causing. They are blind to the fact that the free ride must end sometime. Their only understanding of economics is the amount of the check they receive every month.
The entitlement class does not care that they are killing the goose that lays the golden eggs. And just to be clear, the entitlement class exists at both ends of the spectrum. The very poor and the very rich are equally guilty. The financial pressure felt by our economy, and the middle class producers, is causing it to shrink. As business owners get squeezed they lay off employees to cope with tighter budgets. These actions reduce the tax base that provides the core of entitlement spending. As these people demand more, they are reducing the profits of the business class and reducing spendable income among the working class. At some point this will end as the economy seizes up and stalls.
Only after this happens will the purge of the entitlement class begin. Those that have nothing to offer the economy will wither and die as the resources they need are cut off. It will be loud. It will be messy. It will be bloody. But it must happen at some point in order to purge the system of all of the fat that has built up over the years and caused the lifeblood of the nation to stop flowing.
It is not only an economic war these people wage on this nation but a moral one as well. The excesses these people feel a right to is a result of a deeper rooted problem. They lack the moral underpinnings that have been the foundation of this nation for four hundred years. The intolerance and obscene lifestyle they live has resulted in the destruction of a nation that was created from scratch by godly people to become the world leader and most prosperous in history.
The moral values embedded in this nation were the bedrock that maintained a stable family life and provided the seeds of greatness. These seeds have been slowly poisoned over the years and now the bitter fruits of entitlement are all we are left with. If this nation is to survive and prosper once again it first must be cleansed of the essence of evil that has invaded it at every level.
There are those that reflect on bible prophecy and note the apparent absence of America in the last days according to prophecy. This may be by design and it may be for our benefit when the world is turned upside down. In any WWIII scenario where America is still a major power, it is unlikely we would not be involved in the fighting and not be spared total destruction from nuclear weapons in an all out war. The lingering effects of radioactive contamination would be devastating for years to come. It would make survival and rebuilding difficult if not impossible for the few survivors. If America were embroiled in an internal struggle when WWIII gets under way, it would likely preclude any serious involvement by America and save America from any serious long term destruction from nuclear weapons. We would be a mere backwater and sideshow to the larger conflagration going on in the world.
The festering scabs that entail modern society must be removed before the healing can begin. According to a prophecy by George Washington, America will be invaded and destroyed in what he termed the third great peril. There would be a great struggle against superior forces and eventually victory and peace would return to America after the intervention of heaven. No town, village or city will remain standing in the wake of this conflict. This will be the great cleansing of America in the future if prophecy is correct.
According to the fourth turning, things will get continuously worse until they peak around 2020. As such, Americans should plan for a lengthy period of destruction and deprivation lasting from about 2014 until about 2025. This is the time horizon for short term survival.
It is bound to happen at some point and we should be asking not if it should happen but what we can each do to stay out of the way and insure we are in a position after it happens to help rebuild a rational and sustainable nation again. Things such as our moral underpinnings and work ethic need to be reevaluated. The way we educate our children and conduct business needs to revert to proven systems that in the past helped build a strong nation. The ability to hold a stable medium of exchange that cannot be compromised by a chosen few must be restored. The rational use of our natural resources that provides a sustainable future needs to be explored.
The west line has moved to China and that means the epic growth America once experienced is gone and will never return to previous levels. We must now learn to live with a smaller more sane business model. Just as the nations before us lost the advantage as the west line passed them by, we too must now learn a new social dynamic to survive and prosper in the future. The only alternative is to be permanently impoverished and suffer from our shortcomings as a nation. This would insure the domination and manipulation by outside forces that would treat us as another third world nation to be mined of all resources.
Many times when a building is demolished, the best parts are salvaged to be used again in the new structure. The best parts of America need to be salvaged and used to rebuild a nation the people can once again be proud of. The removal of the sick, lame, lazy and corrupt is at hand and it will not be pretty. It is the normal course of nature to destroy and rebuild over time and our time has come. How we end up after this coming world disaster will depend entirely on us. It cannot be stopped, only dealt with at this point. Are you prepared for that?
By: Tom Chatham
Those that have the foresight to plan ahead for their distant future needs are growing smaller by the year. With every new generation the want for things to be faster and always newer is the driving force that will eventually devour us as a nation. Long term planning has given way to short term gratification. The need to live for today has replaced the time tested wisdom to live life in moderation. Its not a bad thing to want a good life and those things that make it easier but to sell your future in order to have it all now is a recipe for disaster.
There are those that tell the masses that life should be lived to the maximum every day and not to worry about the future because someone else will take care of that for you when the time comes. That is like driving your car wide open everywhere you go. You will get there faster and have a lot of fun doing it but your car will wear out much faster and leave you stranded at some point with no means to get another because you still owe on the first one for years to come.
Life can be just as much fun when lived in moderation and done with a long term plan to get you to the end. By planning your future needs and wants you can get there with money to spare. The act of buying it now and paying high usury fees destroys your future savings. If you go around paying two or three times for everything you get, you will be throwing away a lot of your hard work and future happiness.
Westerners, and more so Americans than the rest, tend to take a short term perspective on things. This short attention span and desire for immediate gratification is the cause of many of our woes. Since most Americans live paycheck to paycheck today, it is easy to understand why they take a short term perspective on their lives. They put so much energy into the here and now they have nothing left for the future. This short term perspective causes them to develop tunnel vision and disregard future possibilities. This prevents them from forming long range plans and goals that they can work towards to fulfill their hopes and dreams.
As many preppers will tell you, they did not have the ability to immediately fulfill their want list of preparations. They had to make a long term plan and stick to it to some degree in order to get to the preparedness level they desired. For many this took years and for some the work still continues. A prepper is the epitome of a long range planner. They evaluate the resources they have to work with and set out long range goals to achieve a certain desire.
This is the primary element that is missing from the American culture at large today. The desire for immediate gratification has led America down a path of destruction that will destroy our nation in due time. Americans give little thought to buying on credit or borrowing beyond their ability to repay. They want it now and will deal with the problems later. When the problems finally rear their ugly head, the lack of a long term plan to deal with it causes them to implode, costing them everything they have and the loss of many years of hard work. The wealth amassed by previous generations has been squandered and the current generation wants to have the same living standard as previous generations but there is nothing there to support this lifestyle.
The lack of a long term plan has led many Americans to borrow at excessively high rates and give away their hard work for little gain. As the economy collapses they will lose the few things they have that were bought on credit that they can no longer pay on. The current plan is nothing more than short term creative destruction. Americans are leveraged to the hilt with no hope of ever coming ahead. Only through the use of well conceived long term and short term goals will the U.S. achieve a stable economy that offers prosperity for its people.
The lack of a long term plan for economic prosperity has left America with a hole that must be filled by something. That something is now becoming very obvious to those that care to see it. The hole in American jobs is being filled by foreign investment that is buying up America at fire sale prices. The lack of a long term plan will ultimately see this nation owned by the savers of another nation that have long term plans.
The Chinese are an old civilization and as such they usually take a long range perspective on things. This long term outlook has allowed them to come ahead very fast in the past few decades. They have a goal in mind and a plan to get them there and it is working better than they expected. China has absorbed a major part of Americas manufacturing capability and the technology that has made us competitive in the world. They developed a business model that paved the way for a takeover of the American markets and a systematic de-jobbing of America began. America filled this earnings gap by borrowing from our new business partners.
America has now reached a point where a new plan is taking shape. China is now in the position to systematically take over the U.S. piece by piece. This type of thing can only be accomplished by a long term plan. Most Americans that have no concept of long term planning cannot comprehend the actions taking place and ignore the future consequences of these actions. They only see a savior that is coming to our rescue and will eventually provide them with jobs that will allow them to continue to live beyond their means a little longer. Those that are preppers and have the capacity to plan ahead can see the storm that is coming and no amount of information will convince those with short term thinking of the coming danger.
The lack of a long term plan and the shortsightedness of Americans has led us to a point of desperation as a nation. The lack of a long term perspective will lead to a loss of the standard of living most Americans are accustomed to and a loss of our freedoms as our economy collapses. Most will not realize it until they are staring at it down the barrel of a gun. That day is coming sooner rather than later and it will be a revelation of biblical proportions.