The West Line and China World Rule

By: Tom Chatham

The west line is a theory that the commercial shipping center of the world has slowly moved westward over the course of centuries. This line, by chance or some hidden economic force, has slowly moved for 5,000 years. It started in Lebanon about 3,000 BC, moving in small steps to Rhodes, Crete, the Greek mainland, Rome and Northern Italy. About 1,000 years ago a large step brought NW Europe to the forefront making Antwerp/Amsterdam, London and the Eastern Coast of North America the leading centers of trade. In the 20th century a giant step moved the center of trade into the Pacific and Japan, South Korea and China became the new centers of growth and commercial shipping.

Each step along the west line became a struggle as the old centers declined and the new centers emerged. This long term perspective on the world of maritime trade demonstrates the dynamics of the ever changing environment that we live in. It is a continuing process that civilizations must adapt to in order to accept their new place in international commerce.

England was a manufacturing power that allowed them to build a world class navy. This allowed them to secure a worldwide empire. When they began losing manufacturing power to the U.S. it affected their ability to project military power. When WWII came, they went into deep debt to fight the war and it was the end of their status as a world power.

The U.S. slowly built up a manufacturing base that made the country wealthy and powerful in the world. This manufacturing ability allowed us to build a world class navy during WWII and become the new world power. In the 1930’s the U.S. built up the worlds largest gold hoard with about 26,000 tons. The U.S. has now lost much of its savings and manufacturing power to China and gone deep into debt to that nation.

China now has the manufacturing capability that England and America once had. This capability has made the country wealthy and they are now starting to build a large gold hoard. They are in the initial stages of building a large navy and a middle class that can utilize it’s manufacturing capacity once the U.S. sales wane. When war comes to the world once again, China will take the reigns of power from the U.S. and become the new world power. The U.S. will have to learn to live with a smaller, slower economy just as England and the others before them have.

By understanding the process that is now occurring, we can mitigate the damage to America and insure a reasonable standard of living in the future, but if we ignore the process taking place we may very well end up in third world conditions. The future of America is that of a nation with a lower standard of living and less military power. It will be a nation that must compete in world markets and have a product to sell to stay viable. The ability to prosper due to having the world reserve currency is over and we must accept that fact and adjust to it. If we fail to adjust to the new reality unfolding before us, we will suffer terribly for it.

We hold the future in our hands as the actions we will take will ultimately reflect our standard of living in years to come. The U.S. is destined to be no more than a shell of its’ former self for many years to come if it survives at all. The divisions now present in our society are such that losing our current prosperity could tear us apart as a nation. Do not suffer any delusions. The prosperity we once had is gone and will likely never be repeated in this nation, at least not for several centuries. Anyone who tries to tell you otherwise is not presenting a rational argument based on the natural tendencies of the west line which cannot be controlled by man. The best we can hope to do is to build a stable society that we can live with in the years to come. Just as past empires have succumbed to the west line in its passing, so must America.

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Posted on April 8, 2014, in Economics and tagged , . Bookmark the permalink. 3 Comments.

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