By: Tom Chatham
Everybody knows Murphy. Just when you think you have everything figured out and set, Murphy shows up and ruins your best laid plans. It always happens at critical times.
I’ve said several times that you always need several backup plans for a severe crisis. Even if most of those plans are just paper assessments of what to do in unusual circumstances it is important to think about them while you have the opportunity to make a rational plan. The recent interviews by Doug Hagmann, at Northeast Intelligence Network, with a DHS insider should leave you with a sense of foreboding. After reading these interviews it is up to each individual to assess the information and come to their own conclusion. In the end you will need to rely on your gut instinct and do what you feel is necessary to preserve your wellbeing.
Many people have seen the storm clouds forming and realize the danger we face as a nation and many have made extensive plans and laid in many supplies. Those that have a rural retreat that is well stocked and secure from most hazards must keep one thing in mind. No matter how well you have planned, expect Murphy to show up at a most inconvenient time and ruin everything. It may not happen but you would be foolish not to plan for it.
If the nation is locked down for any reason and the government feels the need to bring the total population under tight government control, your rural retreat may not help. The cities would be the first place they would secure due to the large population there. The suburbs would be next then the rural areas. They already know a lot of the gun owning population lives in farm country so if they decide to do something stupid like confiscate firearms, they will have a plan to do it.
Most likely they will do a reconnaissance of the area they are about to secure and identify any well armed and supplied persons then show up in force. Most of those that have planned to defend their homes have planned for several heavily armed civilians at most working in unison to attack them. If the only danger is from civilians, this might be sufficient. If a platoon of heavily armed federals show up with air support, the dynamics will be much different. Think ATF, DHS and TSA goons with predator drones and armored vehicles.
In this instance most would either surrender or fight to the death and the federals would be willing to level the place. This is the scenario you need to contemplate. As General Patton once said, no poor bastard ever won a war by dieing for his country, he won it by making that other poor dumb bastard die for his. Sometimes, its better to live to fight another day. That means if the war comes to your front door one day it might be better if you were not home to answer the door. At the very least you should have the ability to prevent any vehicles from getting within half a mile of your home to reduce the aggressors abilities.
For those that have made extensive plans, this might be unthinkable but needs to be said. Even if you have what you consider the perfect retreat to sit out any collapse, you need to consider what circumstances would cause you to leave and where you would go. This may only be a temporary relocation until your home is safe again. Then again, your home may be lost forever. Are you prepared for that eventuality? There are some simple and relatively inexpensive things you can do to cushion the blow of this type of upheaval.
If you have several acres of land you have the ability to build a hidden “root cellar” on your property to store critical items that will allow you to go on if most of your other supplies are lost. If you do not have sufficient land for this, and you live close to a heavily forested area you may be able to install a small cellar there, hidden from view which you can store supplies in. If you see the need to relocate in this type of scenario, you may want to identify a large national forest or park near your home that can be utilized. A weekend hiking trip to the area can provide the reconnaissance you need and allow you the opportunity to actually build your cellar while you are there.
A simple 8 x 10 cellar covered with logs and dirt and lined with plastic can provide you with all of the storage you need. It can even act as a relocation site to provide a shelter if things become desperate. Keep in mind we are talking about extreme circumstances where everything is going wrong and you have few options. This may even be a backup plan where you review topographic maps of the area and have satellite maps to see what is actually there. Without even going there, you can choose a site to fall back to in desperate times. Once there you can build a cellar for shelter and storage. With nothing more than a shovel, bow saw, hatchet and roll of plastic, you can build a cellar utilizing locally available materials.
By digging a hole, then lining it with plastic and utilizing the roof logs to hold the top of the plastic in place, you can create a floor and four walls with a moisture barrier. Any extra plastic can be wrapped around the top of the logs and left on top. A second piece of plastic can be laid on the top to completely cover the logs to prevent leaks from heavy rains, and then the structure can be covered with dirt. The amount of dirt will depend on the size of the logs used. A hidden entrance 2’x 4’ can be built and camouflaged to prevent detection. As with a root cellar, two plastic pipes can be installed for ventilation and a third pipe made of metal can be situated to act as a chimney for a small wood stove should it be necessary. With a small enough stove, even automotive exhaust flex pipe may be used. The floor and walls can be reinforced with masonry or logs but will take considerably more time and expense to complete.
If installing a stove pipe, it would be beneficial to have it protrude from the ground at least several feet if not yards from your cellar. This will prevent your cellar from being destroyed if the heat signature of the pipe is used to direct weapons to you. This will also help to diminish the heat signature as the smoke travels through the pipe. If a plastic or metal form that resembles a large animal like a deer or a bear is positioned over the pipe exhaust it may appear on infrared detection equipment as just the heat signature from an animal and be dismissed.
Just to be clear, what I am suggesting is this. In the near future those in America that believe in the constitution and its protections, will be faced with not one war to fight but three. They will be fighting a revolution against the Government, a civil war against those who support the government and eventually a war against foreign troops attempting to take control of this country. Once the country is weakened by internal fighting and unable to defend our borders, it would be the best time for an aggressor to strike. This is why even well stocked rural retreats may not be enough to keep you safe throughout all of the fighting. A cellar stocked with critical supplies may be your last resort to keep in the fight and stay alive. Those that do not have the financial means to stock an extra site should not dismiss it outright. You can still identify a cellar location and make a plan for relocating the supplies you do have to that location if it becomes necessary. A well thought out plan will cost you nothing now but may save your life later.
In the movie Defiance, Russian Jews were suddenly and violently killed when the German army overran their country. Some escaped to the forest where they formed a resistance and fought back. Their life in the forest was difficult because they had no resources to live there initially and they suffered for their lack of basic necessities. This is a prime example of why a backup plan is necessary. Things can go bad very quickly with little warning.
At some point in the near future, everyone in this country will have a Murphy moment, and when that happens they will suddenly realize that all of their future plans are now destroyed. They will suddenly feel like they have a giant hole in their chest as if their guts were ripped out, and they will be gripped with fear. When that happens even the most prepared will ask the same question. Oh my God, what do I do now? Those that prepared will have an immediate answer to that question.
Here are some potential items you might want to stock at a cellar site as minimal backup.
Sanitation Kit -
5 gal. bucket with gamma seal lid
4 rolls toilet tissue
2 qt. pine oil
50 8 gal. waste bags
2 tubes toothpaste
1 collapsible sink
10 disposable razors
2 cans shaving cream
1 bath towel
1 wash cloth
12 bars soap
1 bottle medicated powder
Clothing Resupply –
5 gal. bucket with gamma seal lid
1 heavy work shirt
1 heavy work pants
1 pair boots
3 pair socks
3 pair underwear
3 t shirts
1 thermal top
1 thermal bottom
1 neck gator
1 field jacket
Food Stores –
6 lbs. rice
6 lbs. beans
42 oz. oats
32 oz. vegetable oil
100 tea bags
4 lbs. sugar
5 lbs. cornmeal
4 lbs. milk powder
8 oz. salt
2 oz. pepper
1 lb. popcorn
2 lbs. potato flakes
• multiply this list by the number of months you need
Kitchen Equipment –
Kerosene or propane stove
5 gal. kerosene or 20 lbs. propane per month
Cook set – 1 frying pan, 1 – 2 qt. pot w/lid, 1 – 2 qt. pressure cooker, 1 coffee pot
Dining set- knife, fork, spoon
Cooking utensils- Spatula, large spoon, carving knife, large fork
5 gal. water jug
Power & Lighting –
5 gal. bucket with gamma seal lid
Kerosene or propane lantern with extra wicks/mantles
Candles 100 hr.
Handcrank flashlight/ radio
Rechargable batteries – D, AA
5 gal. kerosene or 20 lbs. propane per month
Sleeping Gear –
1 sleeping bag
1 sleeping pad
Field Gear & Weapons –
Weapon – This can be a cheap bolt action like a Mosin-Nagant capable of defense or hunting large animals.
Ammo – 400 plus rounds of ammo for defense and hunting.
Rifle cleaning kit with oil
Canteen, cup, cover
Medical Supplies –
Emergency Dental Kit
1st aid dressings
Misc. Supplies –
Food prep table
Dining table w/ chairs
5 gal. solar shower
Portable shower enclosure w/ tub
5 gal. water storage containers
Fishing supplies as appropriate
By: Tom Chatham
As the economy sinks deeper into oblivion and drought conditions cause devastating damage to crops nationwide, many people go about their daily lives hoping things get better, totally unaware of the problems growing in the shadows. The world runs on resources and the low hanging fruit has been harvested, leaving the more difficult commodities to be extracted.
The world has heard the arguments for peak oil. It is not that we will run out completely, but the fact that as the oil fields age, extraction of oil becomes more expensive. We have already passed peak world production that occurred in 2005. From now on every barrel of oil that is produced will cost increasingly more.
Keep in mind that energy is required for everything we do. Not only do we need it for electrical power and transportation but other natural resources that must be produced require vast amounts of energy for extraction. As the third world nations vie for better living standards, they will be competing for the limited resources that they must have to build up their economies.
The wars we fight overseas are to a large degree for the resources in that area. What is still unclear is why the global power brokers have the U.S. fighting for control of overseas resources when we still have vast untapped resources here that they refuse to let us use. It may be their way to bring all remaining resources under their control for later global control. It may be that the plan is to use everyone else’s resources and when they run out we will still have ours to draw from. The scenarios are endless but one thing is for certain, our natural resources are declining at a very rapid rate.
It is the depletion of our resources through unsustainable use that will lead to nations increasingly using military force to get the things they need. The U.S. has the best equipped military thus far but what happens to it when we run out of money to pay for that hardware? What will happen if a rising economy like China, decides they need our resources to further their consumption? The population is increasing substantially in the third world nations that will need resources in the future. These people see it as only fair that they should have the same living standard the U.S. has had in the past and it is now their turn to share in the wealth of the planet.
More people and fewer resources will inevitably lead to more conflict in the future for control of the dwindling water, food and energy resources and those that live in and around those resources will be in great danger. The green revolution brought greater agricultural production to the U.S. but that production came at the price of large quantities of oil needed for fuel, fertilizer, pesticides, transportation, processing and packaging. When the price of the energy to produce food becomes too great, the quantity and quality of our food will suffer. Those that have no wealth and are forced to bid on future resources will revolt at some point and will either have to do without or fight. The U.S. is mired in debt that can never be paid back without destroying the currency. The destruction of our currency would destroy the vast paper wealth that Americans have and turn us into a third world country almost overnight reducing our ability to bid for needed resources.
The need for water is even more grave than the need for food. Without water nothing lives or can be grown. The fresh water resources in the world are dwindling and becoming more polluted every day. Even in the developed world, water is becoming a scarce resource and our consumption of large amounts of it to support our standard of living is making it even worse as time goes on. The sad fact is we could have a high standard of living while reducing the amount we use but like everything else, the volume of water we use creates a lot of jobs and makes many people rich. In recent years several U.S. states have had disputes over water rights and as water sources dry up it will become worse. What will happen to places like Las Vegas and Phoenix in the future when water supplies are reduced to levels that cannot sustain their populations?
The need for petroleum is a major cause for fighting in the world. Many of the things we do require a great deal of energy and oil now fills that role. A major use of oil is for growing crops, and transporting goods around the world. In the past when goods were made and sold locally, the need for large amounts of energy were small. As the price and declining availability of oil increases many will have no choice but to revert to earlier forms of production and distribution. Those that are creating large industries will see it as a necessity to acquire the supplies of energy for their own use and many will be willing to fight for it. No military in the world can be powerful without oil so those with the largest militaries will be at the forefront of the forced acquisition of resources. At this very moment China is using its large cash reserves to buy up resources around the world including here in the U.S.
Other resources such as copper, zinc, iron ore, manganese and rare earth elements are the foundation of a modern society. Those that control these resources will grow and those that do not will be mired in poverty. Rare earth elements are hard to extract because they are, well rare, and they make the small powerful electronics we use possible. This also makes them a necessary element in military hardware. The ones that control the rare elements will have the most sophisticated military equipment that will give them a distinct edge on the battlefield. China produces the most rare earth elements and the last few years they have begun to restrict their export. The U.S. and Australia have deposits but they are less developed than Chinese production leaving the U.S military in a bad position if a major war should break out.
As the population increases and the world attempts to maintain the status quo it is inevitable that more wars will be fought for resources. Those producers that are as self sufficient as possible will have an advantage over the consumers in society and will fare better in the long run. A person living on a 20 ac diversified farm will have the ability to produce most of what they need and earn a living with the excess. The potential to produce all of the energy you need is possible even on this type of small acreage. A few acres of timber can provide wood for heating and cooking and even for fueling a wood gas generator for powering equipment and generators. The use of solar and wind energy can provide a majority of your electrical power. The production of bio-gas for cooking and power generation is possible in livestock operations. The production of ethanol from corn can provide additional energy for selected operations. The building of rain catchment systems to store rainwater for irrigation during drought conditions would allow the irrigation of small fields. With livestock to produce fertilizer and water storage systems, a small farm will be able to avoid many of the resource problems that larger farms would experience in the future. It is this type of localized production that will become more important in the future as resources become scarce and expensive.
As resources get tighter, expect inflammatory language and actions followed by armed conflict. It will not be just nation states with armies but corporations, states, municipalities and individuals in conflict with one another to seek their share of resources on various levels. These conflicts will likely be in conjunction with economic problems and could last years or decades until balance is restored by the advent of new energy systems or through population reduction reducing the demand on resources.
Innovation has always been the hallmark of civilization and we can solve the problems we face but only if we try. To continue down the road we are on just because it is easier than changing course will inevitably lead us to a dead end and the time it takes to get back on course will take much longer.